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September

Green Bay Packers 2010 Initial Roster Predictions – 9/2/10

Preliminary Green Bay Packers roster predictions for 2010.  My final predictions will come after the Packers – Chiefs preseason game has been played.

Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers           yes

Matt Flynn                   yes

Graham Harrell          cut – PS

The only question here is, will Harrell last on the practice squad? Having had Brian Brohm picked up off their practice squad last season, Harrell is another QB with a good college football resume. It’s very possible  another team would take a chance on him. Would the Packers be tempted to do what most NFL teams do and keep 3 QBs on their roster?

Running Backs

Ryan Grant                  yes

Brandon Jackson       yes

Kregg Lumpkin           yes

Quinn Porter                IR

James Starks                PUP

John Kuhn                    yes

Korey Hall                    no / trade

Quinn Johnson           yes

In a way, I’m relieved that things worked out the way they did for James Starks and Quinn Porter. These are two guys I believe will have success down the road, but could use a year in the gym and a chance to  study Mike McCarthy’s  system with no pressure. Thinking about the future, I didn’t want to lose either of these guys. As for the fullbacks, the 3FB experiment of last season is probably done. Kuhn has shown his versatility and value to the team, so it’s between Korey Hall and Quinn Johnson. I don’t think the Packers are ready to give up on Johnson after only 1 year in the league. Hall is steady at many things, but unspectacular at any. I see the Packers shopping him for a draft pick, as his special teams plays could have value to another team. If there are no takers, he is gone.

Wide Receivers

Greg Jennings             yes

Donald Driver              yes

James Jones                yes

Jordy Nelson              yes

Brett Swain                  yes

Charles Dillon             cut-PS

Jason Chery                cut

Chastin West               cut-PS

Patrick Williams          cut

No surprises here. The receiving corps is the same as last year. As much as I had wanted to see Charles Dillon make this team, part of that was predicated on his getting a shot at kick returning, which never happened. Surprising, since he had good success in college. I’d still like to see the Packers put him on the PS, as I like him as a bubble screen type guy who can surprise with his moves after the catch.  Out of the others, I don’t believe Chery has a real shot, unless he runs back two more kicks for touchdowns in the last preseason game. I really think his TD runback in the Colts game just a perfect storm of lucky circumstances. Chastin West has shown to be steady and catches every ball thrown to him, but seems to lack the athleticism needed.

Tight Ends

Jermichael Finley         yes

Andrew Quarless          yes

Donald Lee                  trade

Tom Crabtree               yes

Spencer Havner           yes

This may be the toughest call on the roster. The Packers like all five guys. All five deserve to be on the team. The Packers will not want to lose Quarless and Crabtree. I don’t believe they’ll keep five, so the only way out of this predicament is to look for a trade. Although the Packers still consider Donald Lee their #2 tight end, as an experienced player with starting experience, he has the most trade value. There are several teams out there hurting for tight ends that would love to have a Donald Lee. He’d be a perfect fit for the Giants, for example. Note that I’m not advocating trading Lee, nor do I think there is a great chance of it happening. I would be perfectly happy if he stays, but I think this is a way for the Packers to not lose the younger guys and get a player in return.

Offensive Linemen

Chad Clifton                yes

Mark Tauscher            yes

Bryan Bulaga                yes

Josh Sitton                   yes

Scott Wells                   yes

Daryn Colledge            yes

Evan Dietrich-Smith    yes

Jason Spitz                   Trade

Breno Giacomini         cut/trade

Allen Barbre                 cut

TJ Lang                       yes

Marshall Newhouse      yes

Nick McDonald           cut-PS

Chris Campbell             cut-PS

I don’t think there will a lot of surprises here. I don’t see the Packers keeping both Evan Dietrich-Smith and Spitz to serve the same backup role, so Spitz will definitely be shopped. I think he’s the most likely Packers player to be traded.  I was high on McDonald coming into camp, but he was a bit overwhelmed at first. Lately he has come on and has drawn praise from Mike McCarthy, so the Packers like him, but he needs to get stronger. A year on the practice squad would be perfect for him. Campbell has shown little fire and is a long-term project, at best. Newhouse really came on the last few weeks when the Packers moved him back to tackle. Early on, I though he was in danger of not even making the team, but now I believe he’s in.  Barbre and Giacomini are definitely gone, one way or the other. If TT can swindle a low draft pick for either of them, we’ll take it and run.

Defensive Line

Cullen Jenkins              yes

BJ Raji                        yes

Ryan Pickett                yes

Anthony Toribio           cut-PS

Mike Neal                    yes

Justin Harrell                yes

CJ Wilson                    cut-PS

Jarius Wynn                 yes

Ronald Talley               cut

Is Harrell really healthy and can he really contribute? The makeup of the reserve DLs all revolves around the answer to that question. The Packers WANT to keep Harrell. They WANT his big body as a backup DL. I’m guessing they give him every benefit of the doubt (as they have done for 3 yrs) and keep him. That leaves the battle for the last spot (I’m keeping 6DLs) to Jarius Wynn and C.J. Wilson.  They are fairly even in talent level, but Wilson has the better frame for a 3-4DE.  Unfortunately, he’s too green and  just not ready. Wynn is not practice squad eligible, so I think the Packers keep Wynn and try to stash Wilson on the practice squad. There’s also a very good possibility they keep 7  defensive linemen, in which case Toribio has a chance to make it, or they decide to keep Wilson on the roster.

Linebackers

Nick Barnett                yes

Clay Matthews            yes

AJ Hawk                     yes

Brad Jones                   yes

Brandon Chillar            yes

Desmond Bishop         yes

Robert Francois            cut-PS

Frank Zombo               yes

Brady Poppinga           yes

Cyril Obiozor               cut-PS

Maurice Simpkins         cut

Alex Joseph                  cut-PS

Pretty cut and dried here. It’s obvious who the top eight linebackers are. The only question is who makes it if they decide to keep nine? I think Alex Joseph has potential to be another UDFA surprise, but practice squad would be best for him. Obiozor and Francois would seemingly have the inside track to be the ninth linebacker. Francois is probably a little more polished, but Obiozor more athletic. Obiozer sometimes seems to be lacking a passion for football to me – I don’t know that he’s in love with playing the game, like a Zombo is, for example. The other possibility is Maurice Simpkins, the Arena footballer who has been better than expected, and has shown some flashes on special teams. I don’t think any of these three will entice the Packers to keep 9 linebackers. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a LB picked up from another team.

Secondary

Nick Collins                 yes

Charles Woodson        yes

Al Harris                      PUP

Atari Bigby                   PUP

Morgan Burnett           yes

Tramon Williams          yes

Will Blackmon             yes

Sam Shields                  yes

Pat Lee                        yes

Brandon Underwood    yes

Jarrett Bush                  yes

Derrick Martin             yes

Charlie Peprah             yes

Anthony Levine            cut-PS

DJ Clark                      cut

Josh Bell (IR)               IR

This didn’t happen intentionally, but I ended up with eleven defensive backs.  I guess with Harris and Bigby on PUP,  the question marks about Blackmon’s knee, Underwood’s injury and Lee’s lackluster play, I wanted as many alternative options as possible. Hell, I even kept Jarrett Bush! While I don’t really believe the Packers would keep eleven, I’ll leave my list as is for now.  My last two adds were Jarret Bush and Charlie Peprah. For me, both are just insurance policies.

Specialists

Mason Crosby             yes

Tim Masthay                yes

Chris Bryan                  cut

Brett Goode                yes

Although I have been rooting for Bryan, Mathsay has definitely been better the last two weeks. Bryan has the edge in positional punting, but it’s not enough to offset his inconsistency when it comes time to let go and  boom one.

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Jersey Al Bracco is the founder and editor of AllGreenBayPackers.com, and the co-founder of Packers Talk Radio Network. He can be heard as one of the Co-Hosts on Cheesehead Radio and is the Green Bay Packers Draft Analyst for Drafttek.com.

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17 Responses to “Green Bay Packers 2010 Initial Roster Predictions – 9/2/10”

  1. John Rehor John Rehor says:

    A few thoughts on the predictions:

    -Don’t think Harrell lasts on the PS. McCarthy is a good developer of qbs and that alone might lure some team to pick him up.
    -Not sure why, but why do I have a feeling the Fearsome Threesome at FB stays in tact?
    -Think Obi hits the PS-liked him enough LY to stick and have to think they would like another look at him, even if his play this preseason was ok at best.
    -Bush makes the final cut only because of numbers-once Harris is back and playing at a passable level have to think he’s gone.

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    • Jersey Al Jersey Al says:

      I think the main reason the 3 fullback goes away is the 5 tight end situation…

      I certainly think they would like to keep obi for another year. Supposedly, there was some interest from other teams in signing him off the PS last year.

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  2. pigskinpaul says:

    Overall we are thinking the same, except when it comes to the DL & DB positions. ou cannot risk losing WILSON/DE when one of the guys you are keeping and counting on styaing healthy is HARRELL. You also can’t keep 11 DBs when 1 of them is BUSH. Cut BUSH and keep WILSON on the roster.
    I fogot… they can’t cut BUSH because of the photos.

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    • Jersey Al Jersey Al says:

      I don’t really think they’ll keep 11 DBs, and I would have no problem with keeping Wilson. That’s something I have considered, but I wanted to wait and see Wilson in the Final preseason game before making that commitment.

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      • Bernie says:

        Al, I’m surprised you didn’t wait until at least tomorrow to make roster predictions. The roster spots 50-53 may well be won at tonight’s game.

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        • Jersey Al Jersey Al says:

          That’s exactly why I did this now. Notice the title says “initial” roster predictions. I wanted to establish where I thought everyone stands right now, watch the game, and then make a final prediction. So, that’s what I’m doing…

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  3. Mojo says:

    A couple of comments about the practice squad. It is my understanding that before you can sign a player to your practice squad, the team needs to cut or release him and then any other team at that point can either sign him to their roster or their practice squad. If a team is able to clear a player without him getting claimed by another team, then they can sign him to their own practice squad. I also believe once a player is on your practice squad and he is later claimed by another team, you have right of first refusal, but you must put him on your 53 (and cut someone else). I could easily see someone like Wilson getting claimed by another team before he would even make the Packers PS. Finally, if the Pack do somehow keep Wilson consider then they would have the following on their roster:
    A.J. Hawk
    B.J. Raji
    C.J. Wilson
    D.J. Hey Mr. put a record on

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    • Jersey Al Jersey Al says:

      You are exactly correct in your statements about how the practice squad works. There are no guarantees a player will make it there or stay there.

      Wilson is one guy I would worry about getting signed if cut. Most likely, after watching the game, I’ll add him to the roster and drop a DB, but I wanted to see him in action one more time, first.

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  4. David Davis says:

    It is to my understanding that a Practice Squad is limited to 6 players. I see 10 listed here.

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    • Jersey Al Jersey Al says:

      Actually it’s 8, but I’m not predicting the practice squad here. That’s impossible because once waived, anything can happen as mojo said in his comment above. I was just identifying candidates for the practice squad.

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  5. David Davis says:

    Just looked it up. You are allowed 8 players on a practice squad.

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  6. PackersRS says:

    NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

    Once again, Jarrett Bush, Cornerback/Safety/Gunner/Bane of my existence, makes the team.
    -
    Final preseason game competitions:
    - FB Hall x FB Johnson X TE Crabtree. It’s a three-way battle for one spot. Unless, as you predicted, Lee gets traded. Otherwise, only one of them makes the team.
    - Wr Jason Chery x Will Blackmon. The battle for the return position. If Chery can make an impact again, he might obtain the spot, specially considering Blackmon’s health, or lack thereof.
    - DE C.J. Wilson x DE Jarius Wynn. No way the Packers enter the season with just 5 DL. Neither of them is nowhere near ready to play, so Harrell gets the nod over them. But there’s still one spot left.
    - DB Derrick Martin x DB Jarrett Bush. With Shields a lock to make the team, he’ll most certainly be one of the gunners. This will leave those two battling for the other spot. Needless to say, GOOOOO DERRICK! I think Peprah has one spot till Bigby comes back, then he’s gone.

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  7. [...] The Packers seemed very disappointed with Blackmon’s lack of progress with his injury. In my initial roster projections, I had Blackmon on the team, but the more I thought about it, the more I realized the Packers were [...]

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