Packing The Stats: What’s bigger, Aaron Rodgers’ ascent or the Secondary’s descent?
In my last article I compared the defensive performance of the Packers defense (in regards to passing plays) against the average defense; for instance I compared the Packers defense against the New Orleans Saints to all other defenses who have played New Orleans at this point.
Today, I’m flipping the table and comparing the Packers passing offense against the average offense; so again for instance I will compare the Packers offense against the New Orleans Saints to all other offenses that have played New Orleans at this point. Since the Packers didn’t have a week 8 game, and since data on the Packers is most important (as this is a Packers blog), I’m only working with week 7 data. Again, Cmp is completions, Att is attempts, Cmp% is completion percentage, Yds is yards, TD is touchdowns, Int is interceptions, Y/A is yards per attempt and Yds/Pt is yards per point (essentially how many yards does the offense have to gain in order to gain a point? The lower the more efficient the offense is)
A couple of conclusions that you can make:
- The Packers offense is completing more while throwing less than the average offense, which of course means that the completion percentage is higher.
- The Packers offense is gaining about a 100 yards more than the average offense.
- The Packers are scoring nearly a touchdown and a half more than the average offense all while throwing under a half less interceptions.
- The Packers are gaining nearly 3 yards more per attempt than the average team. This probably has a lot due to the fact that the Packers aren’t throwing it more than other teams, but completing more passes.
- The Packers are actually not as efficient with in terms of converting yardage into points. This probably means that the Packers are having to drive down the field a lot of times, this could be due either to teams not wanting to risk playing the Packers offense on a short field or poor special teams play that results in longer fields (i.e. when Cobb gets tackled at the 15 instead of the kneeling and starting from the 20)
Some of these numbers are simply staggering and based on quarterback Aaron Rodgers ridiculous quarterback rating (which is 20 points higher than any quarterback right now) I’d be willing to bet that no other team comes remotely close to these numbers. The praise has to start obviously with Aaron Rodgers but you also have to take your hats off to the receivers and offensive linemen for making the whole thing work.
On the flip side, one of the biggest questions that many Packers fans wonder is how the Packers can be the remaining undefeated team while fielding such a poor passing defense that they rank 31st in passing yards allowed. Many people have speculated that Aaron Rodgers and offensive company have been bailing out the defense much like the defense did during the 2010 Super Bowl season. Looking into that, I’ve recomputed the defensive data from my last post to match the offensive stats.
The most important stat is the difference in averages at the very bottom. Simply put it looks at the average difference that the Packers offense produces versus the average difference that the Packers defense produces (or doesn’t produce if you want to look at it that way). For instance, the Packers on average threw for more than 100 yards more than opposing quarterbacks against the same teams. Conversely, opposing quarterbacks are throwing for 63 yards more against the Packers defense than they are against other defenses they have played on average, thus giving a difference of 42 yards. At the end of the day Aaron Rodgers throwing more is offset by the Packers defense giving it up more and luckily for the Packers, Aaron Rodgers is more good (pardon the grammar) than the Packers defense is bad.
I think the data shows just how important a quarterback is in the league today. Aaron Rodger is not only directing the offense and winning games, but he is also masking many of the deficiencies that the Packers have (just look at the Peyton Manning-less Colts).
No running game? Not a problem, Rodgers can cover it.
Receivers dropping balls? No problem, Rodgers can cover it.
No passing defense? No problem, Rodgers can cover it.——————
Thomas Hobbes is a staff writer for Jersey Al’s AllGreenBayPackers.com.