24

September

Week 3 Key Matchups: Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks

Packers Aaron Rodgers vs. Seattle Seahawks

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers looks for a tough road win in Seattle

Week 3 is here and it’s time to look at some of the key matchups in the Monday Night game featuring the Green Bay Packers at the Seattle Seahawks.  On paper, this has the makings of an evenly-matched contest that will likely come down to who wins the turnover battle.

The Packers are the better overall team but CenturyLink Field and their raucous crowd, aka the 12th man in Seattle, has turned many super powers into chumps.  Let’s take a look at what I see as the keys to who comes out of this one with the “W”.

Russell Wilson vs. the Packer front 7

Rookie QB Russell Wilson won the starting job in training camp over newly acquired and former Green Bay Packer Matt Flynn.  Many were surprised as it seemed Flynn was the clear-cut choice to start after deciding to leave Green Bay where he had become a solid backup QB and had that monster game in week 17 of last season.

Flynn signed a hefty free agent contract with Seattle and was on his way but he finds himself, once again, on the sideline carrying the clipboard.  Wilson played very well during the preseason.  He was 35-of-52 (67.3%) for 464 yds, 5 TDs and just 1 INT.  Wilson also had 10 rushes for 150 yds and a TD.  That was enough to put him under center when the Seahawks opened the 2012 season.

Wilson has, at times, played beyond the typical rookie tendencies.   In watching the game vs. the Dallas Cowboys last week, Wilson was fundamentally sound and well-composed against a pretty good Cowboy pass rush.  He plays within the system and we can’t forget all of the success Seattle Head Coach Pete Carroll had at USC with his quarterbacks.  Wilson is not even a full year removed from his playing days at the University of Wisconsin and is still on the low end of his NFL learning curve.

Carroll has helped assemble a team and created an offensive system that doesn’t put it all on Wilson’s back.  Very composed and with a good pocket presence, Wilson is proving to be a key to the defensive game plan.  He plays it safe for the most part, and takes what the defense gives him.  Many of his completions last week were shorter routes with a few shots downfield.  Those high percentage throws can prove detrimental to the defense.  If Wilson is able to sustain long drives and tire the Packer defense, it will shift favor toward the Seattle side.

The Seattle passing game isn’t designed to blow anyone away.  Seattle ranks 31st in passing offense with 136 yards/game.  But Wilson is making plays both with his arm and his feet.  He’s not an easy sack.  As he did in college, Wilson moves around and runs well.  He maintains his pump fake until he passes the line of scrimmage and keeps defenders on their heels.  Now, Wilson has been sacked 5 times so he doesn’t always bail out and run when in trouble as many mobile rookies tend to do.  If the Packer front 7 can get some pressure on him, they can try to get Wilson to hurry his throw.  That’s when the Packer DB’s go to work and take the ball away.

The flip side of that pass rush is containing Wilson in the pocket.  When he runs, he runs very well .  He has rushed 12 times for 48 yards so far this season and is the team’s 2nd leading rusher.  If the pass rush pushes too far into the backfield, it will create lanes for Wilson to escape and pick up key yards and keep drives alive.  OLB’s Clay Matthews, Nick Perry and Erik Walden have to be mindful of maintaining their lanes and that the Seattle O line is going to let them release up field in hopes that they over pursue.  Perry especially and being a rookie will need to resist the temptation to push himself right out of the play.  Hopefully he is studying film and OLB coach Kevin Greene has coached him well for a QB like Wilson.

In the passing game, the Seahawks don’t have the flashiest of WR’s with Sidney Rice and Braylon Edwards being the big-name guys.  But Wilson has spread the ball around well having completed to 9 different ball carriers in his 2 games.  Rice is the team’s leading WR with 7 catches.  Seattle uses quite a few 4 and 5 wide sets so we will see a fair amount of the Packer nickel coverage.  Pressure from the front will create opportunities on the back end.

If the Packer DB’s are able to cover well downfield, expect to see Packer Defensive Coordinator Com Capers send his LB’s after Wilson and dial up the blitz.  Wilson is only 5’11” and when in the backfield, rushing defenders need to get their hands up and try to disrupt the passing lanes.  Matthews has been able to bat down quite a few pass attempts during his rush and that would come in very handy in killing the Seahawk drive and getting the defense off the field.

Marshawn Lynch vs. the Packer defense

Packer fans are very familiar with Seattle RB Marshawn Lynch, although it’s an interesting story.  Back in 2010 and with Ryan Grant having suffered a season-ending injury in the opener, the team seemingly needed a running back to pick up the slack.  Lynch, then with the Buffalo Bills, was rumored to be on Packer GM Ted Thompson’s radar to acquire in a trade.  After a week 2 game that brought Lynch and the Bills to Green Bay and as the trade deadline approached, no deal materialized.  Finally he landed in Seattle and some Pack fans were scratching their head wondering why he wasn’t brought in.

Lynch is a big back and tough to bring down.  Packer defenders MUST wrap and tackle.  There will be no arm tackles on Lynch in this game, or any game for that matter.  He runs hard and keeps his feet moving on every play.  Lynch has a very powerful base and can move the pile.  The Seahawk O line is marginal and Lynch masks this slight weakness with his gritty running style.

We have heard time and time again about the Packers’ struggles with tackling in recent seasons.  That issue needs to be resolved this week or the guys in Green & Gold will be reading “Lynch” on the back of a Seahawk jersey as he scampers toward the end zone.  The key is sound fundamentals and keeping the pad level low.  Packer defenders have to have a gang tackle mentality and put several hats on Lynch when he has the ball.  They need to be safer than sorry.  Seattle likes to run out of the I formation and straight up the gut.  Lynch will challenge Packer NT BJ Raji and ILB’s AJ Hawk and DJ Smith as he tries to bust up the middle and get to the 2nd level.

While you never want to see DB’s get burned trying to cheat the run, it will become important that they are stout in run support.  S Jerron McMillian has shown a good ability to get up and help stop the run and that could become a key this week.  Safeties Woodson, Burnett and McMillian will have “clean up” duties this week and need to ensure that Lynch isn’t running free downfield.   If Seattle favors the run and has any struggles in the pass game, look for the Pack to try and take Lynch out of the equation and make Wilson win on his own.  Lynch is benefiting this year and is staying fresh in games because of backup RB Robert Turbin.  A fresh Lynch and a tired Packer defense could be a bad formula come the end of Monday night’s game.  The Seahawks rank 7th in the NFL with an average of nearly 150 yards/game on the ground so this is an area of heavy focus for the Packer D unit.

Aaron Rodgers vs Seattle secondary

Seattle’s defense, much like their offense, isn’t very flashy.  The ‘hawks feature very gritty, hard-hitting defenders who are led by their best unit, the defensive backfield.  They feature long time starter in CB  Marcus Trufant and 2 young safeties in Earl Thomas and Cam Chancellor.  Both safeties are hard hitters and very physical.  They can and will lay some wood on a WR coming across the middle or in traffic.

Seattle’s defense is deceptively quick and play their spots well.  They are well coached.  The Seahawks play a lot of zone but as with any zone, there are going to be holes and opportunities to make plays.  The Packers just so happen to have an opportunistic quarterback in one Aaron Rodgers.  If given time, Rodgers will have almost always an option to throw to and should be able to keep the offense moving downfield.

The Seahawk D hasn’t faced a mobile QB yet this season so there could be some opportunities for Rodgers to pick up yards via the ground.  A solid run game will set up some shots down field and the Pack are due for some explosive pass plays.  Mixing in some good under routes or curls can be effective in methodically moving the ball.  Rodgers would be wise to try and get the ball in the hands of Randall Cobb and let him make plays with his speed and skills.  That can keep the Seattle DB’s on their heels and having to think about all angles of the Packer offensive attack.  If Rodgers can take what the defense gives, he will move the ball.

The key is for Rodgers not to get too greedy and be patient in letting the opportunities develop.  The Seahawk pass rush is average so that puts added pressure on their secondary.   They ran quite a bit of nickel versus Dallas and I didn’t see anything too flashy from the nickel backs.  Packer 4 and 5 wide sets should get some opportunities to beat coverage downfield.  Seattle uses a single high safety in the nickel and tends to press the WR’s at the line.  A well placed lob can get a quick completion if the Packer WR’s are able to separate before the safety help arrives.  Rodgers should be able to help look safety help off and create a 1 on 1 matchup to give his WR’s a chance when Seattle is in the nickel.  Seattle DB’s did blitz a few times and got after the ball after the catch.  Side note for the entire offense:  Ball security is a key against this physical group.

Special teams

Special teams have proven to be a strength for both teams this year.  Green Bay has scored 2 TD’s on ST’s thus far and Seattle got a strip fumble and turnover on the opening kickoff last week.  They also blocked a punt that was recovered and returned for a score early in the game.  Seattle’s punter is former Packer Jon Ryan who is solid in directional kicking and pinning teams deep as is Packer P Tim Masthay.  The field position game is always important and both teams will have to cover and contain extremely well downfield.

The Pack had some success last season in covering downfield to force quite a few fair catches inside the 20 or better yet, down the ball inside the 10.  Masthay puts some good hang time on his kicks and almost always gives his crew time to get down to and surround the ball carrier.  Ryan has a good pooch punt and both offenses could find themselves regularly staring at 80+ yards to go for the score.

The Seahawks feature returner Leon Washington, who can break one at any time.  Washington has already broken off a 52 yard punt return and an 83 yard kickoff return in this young season.  He’s a small and speedy individual and the Pack will need sound fundamentals to keep his yardage at a minimum.  The Packers’ Randall Cobb has a punt return for a touchdown and had a kick return for a touchdown last season.  He flashes great speed and can explode through an opening and be on his way.

Both teams have solid place kickers.  Packer Mason Crosby has made all 3 of his FG attempts while Seattle PK Steven Hauschka has hit on 5 of 6 attempts.  Hauschka missed his only attempt beyond 51 yards.  Winning the field position game and forcing Seattle into long FG attempts plays into the Packers’ favor.

Packers vs the 12th man

It’s no secret that Seattle features one of the, if not THE loudest venue in all of the NFL.  CenturyLink Field has long carried a reputation for being an extremely hostile place for visiting teams to play.  Dubbed the “12th man”, the Seattle crowd is incredibly in tune with when to bring the noise.  When Seattle is on offense, you can virtually hear a fan in the nosebleeds ordering a beer.  When on defense, the camera is practically shaking.  It’s deafening and I’m talking about what I hear on TV!  The Packers need to strike first and if possible twice before Seattle can.  They have to deflate the crowd and make it a non-factor.

The Pack will surely come in and use a silent count in anticipation of a very loud and rowdy Monday Night crowd.  The O-line and offense must communicate well and avoid hurting themselves with a lot of pre-snap penalties.  The Pack tend to crank up the noise in the Don Hutson Center to prepare for loud road crowds and this week will be no exception.

It bears repeating:  communication is key.  The Packer offense has to come out strong and confident.  This will calm the line and reduce any jitters and keep the Seahawks from getting under their skin.  It’s easy to become frustrated early when things aren’t going the right way and all of a sudden, a shove after the play leads to some yellow laundry on the field.  The Pack have to play disciplined and focus on their reads.  Any way to block out the distracters has to happen in a stadium like this one.

That it’s a Monday Night game and each team is looking to get above .500 for the first time this season only increases the hype.  The Packer offensive motto this week:  early and often.  With as much success as the Packers have had in recent years, the Seattle crowd will be amped up in hopes that their Seahawks can overpower the visiting Packers.

Enjoy the game!

——————

Jason Perone is an independent sports blogger writing about the Packers on "AllGreenBayPackers.com

Follow Jason at:

Jason Perone
                Add to Circleson Google+

——————



23 Responses to “Week 3 Key Matchups: Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks”

  1. Nostradomus says:

    Well written! I foresee turnovers being the deciding factor in this game. BALL SECURITY for the Packers makes this:
    Packers 30 Hawks 17

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  2. @GBPlitz says:

    Nice research! I see AJ Hawk needing to continue to display why we picked him 5th overall in 2006. Those ILB need to fill the gaps quickly against Lynch early on in the game to force Wilson to try and beat us.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 2

  3. Mark says:

    Anyone else out there still wish we pulled the trigger to get Lynch last year? I do.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 0

    • jay says:

      The Seahawks got him for a 4th rounder (which we dealt for 3 other picks)…assuming that we could get him for our 4th, that would mean Lynch over Davon House, DJ Williams, and Caleb Schlauderaff. Obviously Caleb washed out, but as for the others I haven’t seen enough to warrant a firm grade.

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

      • Mark says:

        I agree the jury is out on what we got instead, but look at the playoffs last year and our inability to run the ball. I think #12 might have suffered a bit with his stats, but Lynch can run the ball. I like what Benson did last week, but let’s see if they stay committed to getting him the ball that many times.

        Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  4. Mark says:

    Can I dislike Ed here? Is he pumping a service? #GoPackGo

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  5. Tarynfor12 Tarynfor12 says:

    Let me see…how do we take away the infamous 12th man of Seattle…by trying to lull them to sleep with a run game that in all rights by Packer standards is below average.
    The offense isn’t and wasn’t schemed for a run game like many hope for and the addition of Benson isn’t the changing miracle for it to be.
    If we don’t get the passes..we don’t win…even with two Bensons.
    Jennings,Nelson,Jones,Cobb,Driver,Finley are now less deadly than a run game because of Benson.
    Can’t wait to see how that works out tonight.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

    • Mark says:

      Man, lots of negativity. This is the Seattle Seahawks! I wasn’t on this site last year, but this should be a game we win. I get it is a tough place to play, but when isn’t a road game tough? Maybe Cleveland? And what do you mean, “if we don’t get passes?” We have the league MVP!

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

      • Tarynfor12 Tarynfor12 says:

        Negativity..no…reality..yes.

        Why are we trying to implement what we were not being prepared for…a strong run game.
        I asked this question elsewhere…if Starks hadn’t gotten turf toe and Green was healthier,would Benson have been signed or even a thought…NO.
        So why is it so demanding that we now establish what we don’t rely on simply because of Benson.Is he better than Starks and Green..yes but he and his 1000yd seasons elsewhere won’t benefit us now as we aren’t set up for a heavy run scheme..we pass to infuse some run,we don’t run to infuse some pass.

        Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

        • Mark says:

          I am not saying negativity towards the running game, but generally against the Packers. We have a better team then last year yet everyone seems to think we are on the brink of failure. The defense SHOULD get better and #12 will get back on track. I am just saying any glimpse of a running game will help out overall.

          Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

          • Tarynfor12 Tarynfor12 says:

            My bad…sorry.

            I look at the Packer run game as seasoning when cooking…you could always add when applicable but don’t dump it all in at the start.

            Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

            • Mark says:

              Nice analogy… I will give you credit the first time when repeating and then coin it as my own after that.

              #GoPackGo

              Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  6. Robert Wagner says:

    I think we will see Lynch crossing the goal line with AJ ‘piggy back’….dude cant tackle a big back alone….safeties not named Woodson can’t tackle ANYONE…

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 1

  7. Dan "FireMMNow" Blakley FireMMNow says:

    The 12th man is overrated. I was at the game the last time the Packers played in seattle. Yeah it is the loudest stadium I have ever been in, but if you get up early the fans leave. They key to getting the crowd out of it is a fast start no matter how you do it. The craziest thing was we did not have great seats and it was loud to start the game, but you could still hear Rodgers voice cut through the noise. The players have said in the past that they can usually hear rodgers no matter what the crowd does.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

    • Mark says:

      I agree. Any road game is tough. Getting up 14-0 will make the 12th man a non-factor.

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  8. Mojo says:

    The thing that concerns me the most is how the replacement refs react to the loud home crowd. Will Seattle get some PI calls they wouldn’t get with the regular refs? And what about the other judgment calls? I thought I heard Vegas had to add an extra 1/2 point to the home teams line because of how biased they are for the locals.Here’s hoping the refs aren’t wearing the flying Searats garb on their social-media pages.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

    • Mark says:

      The officials were horrible last night in a loud environment. But I think that would benefit the Packers more then the Seahawks, as they really can’t go down field. I hope #12 takes some chances downfield tonight not only for that reason, but because we haven’t went long as much as I would like to see (Jordy big play machine).

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  9. Kevin Lamb says:

    I have a feeling the Packers are going to have their hands full tonight but I predict a Packers win. Good article, I enjoyed the read. Go Pack Go

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

    • Mark says:

      I am going with a prediction of Green Bay 31 Seattle 21.

      Clay picks up 2 more sacks. Chuck with a pick. AR goes for 297 with 3 TDs.

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 0

  10. It is really a nice and useful piece of information. I am satisfied that you simply shared this useful info with us. Please keep us informed like this. Thank you for sharing.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  11. You’re in reality a just right webmaster. The website loading velocity is amazing. It seems that you are doing any distinctive trick. Also, The contents are masterwork. you’ve performed a great job in this subject!

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0