28

September

Packers Playbook (aka Hobbjective Analysis): Week 3 at Seachickens

I’m not going to detail the “innacurate reception” as I’m sure that’s been done to death and frankly I’m tired of seeing it, so I’m going to be analyzing another play that popped out to me.  Overall, there’s nothing special going on on either side of the ball, the Seahawks are playing a vanilla formation and the Packers counter with a vanilla formation.  No crazy pre-snap motions, no crazy hand-offs or reverses, no psycho package or amoeba defenses or exotic blitz packages.  So what’s so surprising?  AJ Hawk makes the play.

The situation: It’s still the 1st quarter with the score still tied at 0 a piece.  The Seattle Seahawks have been playing a very conservative game plan by establishing a solid running game with running back Marshawn Lynch and trying to keep quarterback in 3rd and short passing situations.  Unfortunately, the Packers defense is also well aware of the Seahawks game plan and has done a remarkably good job holding Lynch in place.  This play occurs on 2nd and 8, after Lynch rushes for a 2-yard gain.

The formation: The Seahawks line up in a 1-3-1 set (1WR-3TE-1RB) with WR Golden Tate (I believe) out wide left (he’s outside the screen cap), Tight ends Zach Miller, Ben Obomanu and Anthony McCoy are lined up inline of the right tackle with RB Lynch aligned about 5 yards behind the center.  The Packers respond with their nickel package with NT BJ Raji (90) and DE Jerel Worthy (99) being the only two down linemen, the standard 4 linebackers of OLB Clay Matthews (52), ILB AJ Hawk (50), ILB DJ Smith (51) and OLB Erik Walden (93) with the secondary being composed of CB Sam Shields (37, also outside the screen cap), CB Tramon Williams (38), CB Charles Woodson (21, playing the nickel cornerback position), SS Jeron McMillian (22) and FS Morgan Burnett (43).

Pre-snap: The Seahawks motion TE Miller (86) to inline to the left tackle, and is followed by CB Woodson.

Snap: Wilson and Lynch perform perhaps the poorest play action pass ever seen in the NFL (seriously, Lynch doesn’t even bother to come up to Wilson and immediately runs a flare route, leaving Wilson “handing off” the ball with no one within 2 yards of him).  I’ve labeled the defensive assignments by color: red arrows indicate pass rush, blue arrows indicate man coverage and green arrows indicate zone coverage.

The Packers have decided to run a one high safety/man coverage concept with NT Raji, DE Worthy, OLB Matthews and OLB Walden rushing to the quarterback or playing contain.  ILB Smith has man coverage on TE McCoy while ILB Hawk is responsible for the flat to his side.  In the secondary, the Packers are playing high-low coverage on TE Obomanu with SS McMillian covering any underneath routes while CB Williams provides help up top (essentially playing safety).  CB Woodson covers TE Miller, while CB Shields covers WR Tate one on one.  Finally, FS Burnett is playing deep safety, most likely biased towards CB Shields as TE Obomanu is double covered and TE McCoy runs a flat route.

My assumption is that QB Wilson’s main option is either TE Obomanu or TE McCoy, but since TE Obomanu is double covered and TE McCoy hasn’t managed to gain any separation from ILB Smith along side with the fact that OLB Walden has managed to slip free of the tackle leads to Wilson being forced to dump off the pass to his safety valve, RB Lynch. CB Woodson hesitates, sees that Miller has stayed back to help the left tackle with OLB Matthews and notices RB Lynch slip out of the backfield on his flare route.

Now comes the surprising part, both ILB Hawk and CB Woodson are essentially both covering RB Lynch and not only does ILB Hawk manage to beat CB Woodson (Hawk had to cover more ground too) to RB Lynch, but he also manages to tackle RB Lynch all by himself.   Obviously Woodson has lost step, but Hawk outweighs him by 40 pounds so this is quite surprising.  Secondly Hawk has never been known for his coverage skills (he was often the odd man out in the linebacker core when it came to obvious passing situations, for example the 1st game in 2010 against the Eagles where he didn’t play a snap since the Eagles played in a spread offense the entire game) and he essentially plays the flat perfectly in this play.  Finally, Hawk manages to tackle Lynch all by himself all out in the open, which is something that the Packers defense as a whole aren’t really great at.  In the end the result is a 1 yard gain by Lynch as Hawk makes the sound tackle.  Afterwards, both Hawk and Lynch are seen smiling, I’m pretty sure Lynch wasn’t expecting to get tackled by one guy, let alone Hawk and Hawk is smiling that he took down “beast mode” all by himself.

I think this is probably why the Packers think that AJ Hawk is such a great player (evidence: a 5-year $34 million contract) but why fans seem to hate him.  In this play AJ Hawk does his job, tackles Lynch for a small gain, gets up and gets back to the huddle.  He doesn’t bring attention to himself and thus fans don’t notice it.  Hawk is assignment sure and a smart player, but what he isn’t is a explosive player.  He’s not going to destroy offensive linemen or blitz the quarterback or anything else that would be considered glamourous.  He’s simply just a really solid player, maybe not a playmaker (claymaker?) but still a valuable part of the Packers defense.

 

Author’s note: Again this is my second attempt at this, so any recommendations on how to present the play would be greatly appreciated.

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Thomas Hobbes is a staff writer for Jersey Al’s AllGreenBayPackers.com.

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23 Responses to “Packers Playbook (aka Hobbjective Analysis): Week 3 at Seachickens”

  1. Chad Lundberg says:

    (Off subject here)

    I know we’re all trying to get past this, but if it’s to anyone’s convenience, I live Nipomo California, which is literally 10 minutes away from Lance Easely, the ref who blew the Touchdown call on Monday Night. I’m thinking about going to talk to him. No, NOT THREATEN him, just talk to him.

    Anyone wanna ask him something?

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 1

    • Tarynfor12 Tarynfor12 says:

      IMO…dumbest thing anyone could do!

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    • Tarynfor12 Tarynfor12 says:

      Sorry ..shouldn’t use the word dumb.

      Just…”FAHGETTABOUDIT”

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

    • Chad Toporski Chad Toporski says:

      Make him an offer he can’t refuse… ;-)

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      • Chad Lundberg says:

        Like a chance to salvage his reputation? Impossible to…

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        • Tarynfor12 Tarynfor12 says:

          Like a chance to salvage his reputation?

          By talking to you?You’ll likely get arrested for harrassment,loitering,malicious intent with the other people who think he cares what you think of his reputation while going to his home and workplace.

          Knock yourself out.

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    • Thomas Hobbes Thomas Hobbes says:

      I think it’s time to just let it go. It happened, it sucked, but stalking the replacement ref isn’t going to make the NFL reverse it’s ruling.

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 0

  2. Wild_Bill1949 says:

    I really love these Hobbjective plays. TV gives us a very narrow view. I like to see at least some of the plays from a wide angle with analysis. I think you were rather Cold “So what’s so surprising? AJ Hawk makes the play.” Hawk has been getting his head in there more lately.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 4 Thumb down 0

    • Thomas Hobbes Thomas Hobbes says:

      Actually I’ve always thought that Hawk was a pretty good player, but the media and the fans have definitely not been as kind to him. There were plenty of fans who were outraged when he got a contract extension. I think deep down, it’s not really whether or not he’s a good player, it’s because he isn’t a great player. As the 5th overall pick, you’re supposed to better than just good. I would argue that at least he isn’t a total flop but I do see where they are coming from.

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  3. Dan "FireMMNow" Blakley FireMMNow says:

    that was a strange play for woodson. i remember even in the TV view he looked hesitant. not sure what he was doing on the play. he never made an aggressive move to the ball tackler. Hawk has made more jarring tackles in the last two weeks than i can remember in all of last year. if he keeps it up i may not be asking for him to be a salary cap casualty in about 18 months.

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    • Chad Lundberg says:

      In 1-2 years, Bulaga, Burnett, Raji, Matthews, possibly Sam Shields and Mike Neal will all need new contracts, and Rodgers will get a pay raise. The departure of Jennings, Driver and Pickett won’t be enough to compensate for that.

      Regardless of how well Hawk plays, he will at the VERY LEAST have to take a pay cut. ESPECIALLY if D.J. Smith turns out to be the real deal.

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    • PackersRS says:

      The only reason I could tell Woodson was playing was because of the penalty on him, and the one not called.

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    • Thomas Hobbes Thomas Hobbes says:

      I didn’t want to make this any more complicated than it already turned out, but I do think that Woodson probably had an option on who to cover. In a 3 tight end set where everyone is bunched up tight in formation, I think the obvious thought is that the Seahawks are playing max protect. My guess is that Woodson is either responsible for either Lynch or Miller on the presumption that at least one of them will stay behind to block. As you mentioned, Woodson hesitates at the snap, but I’m guessing he’s waiting to see what happens. Miller stays in to block, so Woodson moves on to Lynch.

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  4. ELo says:

    Hawk looked like he was still at Ohio State on this play. Unfortunately. he still seems to over-pursue to one side on runs between the tackles though. He seems to be easy to move out of the way once he gets going. Still, best effort I’ve seen of him.

    By the way, great name for the column.

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  5. Chad Lundberg says:

    It’s tempting to think that Seattle can’t be blamed for the terrible call, but damn, did you see any class from Caroll and company? They not only celebrated, the rubbed it in our faces. They reacted as though they had just won the Super Bowl. Tate admitted he pushed Shields, but still denies that it was an interception. Still a chump.

    Hobbes, THANK YOU for calling the SeaChickens what they really are!

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  6. PackersRS says:

    Very good, all around, the numbers and defensive responsabilities are a big plus.

    Hawk has been playing terrificly this season. Week 1 he did make a mistake at the Gore TD, but overall has been a pleasant surprise.

    Makes me wonder what kind of LB corps we would’ve had with Bishop…

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 0

    • Thomas Hobbes Thomas Hobbes says:

      Thanks, are the numbers enough? Is it helpful that the player’s numbers are in the article or do you know most of the starters numbers already?

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  7. Turophile says:

    Nice work TH. Hawk seems to be having a standout seson so far this year. He has been playing well each of the first three games.

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  8. BRinMilwaukee says:

    VERY nice job, I love the player numbers with pics. I’m new to this site, but stuff like this is a rare treat for a Packer fan. Thanks!

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  9. TXBadger says:

    I really like seeing the breakdowns that you do in this series. Keep up the good work.

    As I watched this play during the game and 2 things came to mind. First, wow, Hawk really accelerated and made that play. Secondly I looked at the replay to see who Hawk ran past to make the play and I thought, with all the young DBs we have and they contracts that are up, I doubt that we’ll see Woodson next year.

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