Now that the Green Bay Packers have their starting 53-man roster after making 22 player cuts yesterday, it’s time to see how well the media handled their roster predictions. Obviously, this is just a fun activity to see how close we all were; nevertheless, we can also clearly see who the surprise cuts were. Which players were almost unanimously selected by media members to make the roster, but who ended up getting cut on Saturday?
Yet more importantly – at least for bragging rights – who had the closest prediction?
So here it is. I’ve compiled a list of 18 beat writers, media analysts, and bloggers who posted public predictions for their Packers 53-man roster. In addition to their name and affiliation, I’ve included their number of correctly predicted players, the overall average of correct players, as well as which players were incorrectly predicted. I then totaled the number of misses by player to see who the big surprises were. Take a look:
First of all, congratulations to Kyle “The Mayor” Cousineau over at Pocket Doppler! Not only did he accurately predict 50 out of 53 players, but he won a heads-up contest between himself and Tom “Backdeck” Knigge.
Kyle was also one of the few to project the release of ILB Terrell Manning. The only other two people to nail this surprise cut were our own Cory Jennerjohn and the staff writers at Acme Packing Company.
The most obvious surprises on Saturday were quarterback Vince Young and running back Alex Green. While none of us were really enamored with either of these players, we generally seemed to feel that the numbers and depth chart had basically secured their place on the roster.
As was mentioned, Manning became the third biggest surprise cut with TE Matthew Mulligan a close fourth. OLB Dezman Moses, WR Tyrone Walker, and TE D.J. Williams were all bubble guys who could have been argued either way. They weren’t really surprise cuts, but it also wouldn’t have been surprising to see them make the roster, either.
So there you have it! Another year down, another set of predictions blown out of the water by Ted Thompson. If there’s one thing to take away from this, it’s that special teams roles really do matter when it comes to the final roster. That’s something will all have to remember when we engage in this silly process of reading Ted Thompson’s mind next year.